Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 4.116562 4.936437 5.850558 6.941445 8.203762 9.614317 11.305425
2025-03-02 2.755730 3.745294 4.967384 6.572070 8.606208 11.080014 14.294961
2025-03-09 2.059343 3.115425 4.536810 6.555048 9.306203 12.879492 17.816864
2025-03-16 1.607756 2.675386 4.224690 6.576805 9.984017 14.654683 21.435108
2025-03-23 1.278335 2.322373 3.944681 6.558753 10.551827 16.285049 24.963187
2025-03-30 0.981034 1.944237 3.544398 6.274328 10.658285 17.229237 27.563780
2025-04-06 0.805582 1.727271 3.352633 6.268061 11.156618 18.757273 31.103326
2025-04-13 0.661770 1.532223 3.158109 6.216430 11.555986 20.143567 34.510544
2025-04-20 0.597202 1.475268 3.195908 6.561364 12.632942 22.666793 39.852469
2025-04-27 0.527813 1.391788 3.167652 6.777182 13.500135 24.905327 44.883997
2025-05-04 0.479453 1.342895 3.196942 7.098546 14.575793 27.558739 50.756054
2025-05-11 0.406847 1.220160 3.054222 7.065062 14.995738 29.118019 54.896222
2025-05-18 0.327405 1.062012 2.813091 6.810601 14.992710 29.971012 57.954393
2025-05-25 0.258933 0.912250 2.561961 6.497485 14.839196 30.538460 60.554330
2025-06-01 0.220509 0.834647 2.463901 6.497858 15.301539 32.254631 65.289563
2025-06-08 0.189480 0.769517 2.383740 6.525374 15.817807 34.102436 70.370910
2025-06-15 0.161400 0.704544 2.291126 6.509467 16.237213 35.788909 75.250405
2025-06-22 0.128277 0.610128 2.099910 6.227562 16.049932 36.273541 77.899965
2025-06-29 0.109689 0.561171 2.025047 6.221563 16.467972 37.981936 82.971695
2025-07-06 0.092692 0.511596 1.937817 6.170341 16.775512 39.482753 87.721698
2025-07-13 0.087680 0.510001 1.996660 6.513100 18.028040 43.007554 96.632405
2025-07-20 0.080057 0.494216 2.007809 6.727560 18.994406 45.990629 104.614467
2025-07-27 0.075231 0.489604 2.054636 7.046899 20.239685 49.635691 114.103354